Sleepers
Chad Henne QB, Mia- Henne is coming into his 3rd year in the league and showed plenty of promise in his first full year of playing. He has a lot of weapons at his disposal as well as a pretty solid O-Line. The Dolphins will have a terrific red-zone passing offense which will be able to provide Henne with ample amounts of TD passes this year. Brandon Marshall and Brian Hartline provide big, strong handed targets along with a running game that needs to be respected by opposing defenses. Look for the “wildcat” to be phased out in Miami and for Henne to be leaned upon more to provide solid amounts of play action to get easy scores. It would not surprise me in the least to see him make the next step into a starting fantasy QB putting up 2009 Joe Flacco type numbers.
Jahvid Best RB, Det- Best has a great chance to be an impact player in PPR leagues showcasing underrated hands, an elusive skill set, top end speed, and an unimpeded starting job. Some of the concerns Best will have is pass protection and goal line/short yardage situations. If he struggles to pick up blitzes, he won’t be involved during obvious passing situations. Monitor his progress in preseason and watch if he is being included in 3rd and long situations. Pretty good chance you will have to live with the lack of touches in short yardage but that’s ok if he’s hauling in 4-5 catches a game.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9FpQFBJTZB0&feature=related
John Carlson TE, Sea- I had John Carlson last year and I must say it was one big headache for most of the season. Watching a lot of Seattle Seahawk football games, I know the problem wasn’t Carlson. The Seattle O-Line was pitiful to say the least leaving Carlson as more of a blocker than receiver. When utilized correctly he came up with some big time plays. The drafting of Russell Okung will hopefully provide stability among the line giving Hasselbeck legitimate time to find the talented pass catcher. The Seahawks won’t be playing from in front too much in 2010 so the opportunity will be there if Okung has the type of presence his draft slot commands. Keep an eye on this situation in the preseason to make sure Okung is signed and progressing the way he was touted coming into the draft. If so, Carlson will be a major beneficiary of that improvement.
Bust
Michael Turner RB, Atl- People who don’t understand PPR leagues will consistently be burnt by guys like Turner. Turner is still being treated as a first round pick according to mockdraftcentral.com even though he is a very inconsistent scorer from week to week in this scoring system. In his 2008 monster season he scored less than seven pts a whopping four times during the fantasy regular season. And that is a year in which he was an overall top 3 scoring back. So in the regular season you’re starting one-third of the games (5 games after the bye week) with little or no production from your top back. That is a recipe for disaster. Bottom line is this: Turner can only score points when his team is winning and he’s scoring TD’s. Good PPR backs will score continuously throughout their teams’ game no matter the situation and some can be had in the 3rd to 5th rounds.
C.J. Spiller RB, Buf- I am excited to see Spiller play and actually feel he will be a dynamic player in the NFL; just not this year. Buffalo has a lot of problems namely the Quarterback position. PPR players will be tempted to compare Spiller to when Reggie Bush was a rookie. No way does Spiller come close to 90 catches and the main reason being Buffalo cannot move the chains with consistency like New Orleans could do. There is no Brees/Colston combination to take the pressure off. I would say people in PPR leagues may draft him as a #2 RB and get a flex/back-up player at best.
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